Portland cement
demand to fall, then rise
Portland cement consumption will see a downturn lasting until at least
2010 as it feels the effects from a depressed housing market impacting
consumer spending and commercial construction, reports Ed Sullivan,
chief economist at the Portland Cement Association.
A recession is looking like more of a
reality into 2009, with recovery not occurring until 2010,” said
Sullivan in a presentation at the World of Concrete on Jan. 22. ”We are
in the midst of cyclical correction that will take three consecutive
years.”
In the long term, cement use is expected to
grow by 43 percent to 183-million tons by 2030, or 55-million tons more
than 2005. This anticipated growth is fueling investments of $6 billion,
(about 25 million tons) of capacity expansions taking place throughout
the U.S.
Highway and housing construction are also
expected to fuel future demand, brought on by population growth.
Sullivan reports the U.S. population should reach 363.5-million people
by 2030.
“Sixty three million more people will be
living in the United States in 2030. This will boost demand for cement
to record levels,” he says.
Highway construction, which accounts for 30
percent of total annual cement consumption, is anticipated to add at
least 400,000 roadway miles to service 50 million more drivers by 2030.
Meanwhile, energy and environmental concerns
may boost cement intensities, or the tons of cement per dollar of
construction activity.
Houses built with insulating-concrete-form
walls, for example, require up to 44 percent less energy to heat than
comparable frame homes. As more homeowners and builders increasingly
seek more energy-efficient houses, insulated concrete walls are expected
to account for 30 percent of all future new homes, which accounts for
only seven percent today.
“If these green conditions materialize, residential concrete
construction will add roughly eight million metric tons to the cement
intensities in 2030,” Sullivan said.
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Three trends
pushing green building to the forefront of construction industry
According to FMI’s 2008 U.S. Construction Overview, construction
industry stakeholders are increasingly recognizing green building
capabilities as “good”—and being a necessary part of a firm’s best
practices. Green building is no longer a niche sector, and three major
trends are pushing green building to the forefront of the construction
industry.
FMI’s 2008 U.S. Construction Overview,
published annually since 1977, offers a comprehensive report on vital
construction trends. It also forecasts the growth or decline in each
market segment and geographic region, noting both short-term and
long-term considerations.
According to the Overview, green
nonresidential construction put in place was $13.4 billion in 2006, and
by 2008 $21.2 billion of all new nonresidential construction will employ
the use of green building principles. The growth in green construction
has created a shift in perception among owners and the architectural and
engineering communities. Construction industry stakeholders have
embraced the green movement and sustainable design for its energy
savings, worker productivity increases and positive public perception,
the report states.
In 2008, the three largest segments for
nonresidential construction green building—office, education and health
care—will account for more than 80 percent of total nonresidential green
construction. Other segments, such as lodging and commercial, are also
experiencing green construction growth, with a 20 percent gain expected
from 2007 to 2008.
Three major trends are pushing green
building to the forefront of the construction industry’s consciousness:
1) an unprecedented level of government initiatives; 2) heightened
residential demand for green construction; and 3) improvements in
sustainable materials.
Government Initiatives
As the largest owner and operator of buildings, the U.S. government has
the ability to exert tremendous influence over the construction industry
and to put in place policies, rules and regulations designed to drive
private sector investment in construction toward a predetermined end. In
the first five months of 2007, more than 100 green building bills were
introduced at the state level.
Many states have adopted sustainability
requirements for all of their new government-funded construction
projects. Governments have also implemented economic incentives in the
form of tax rebates and credits, density bonuses and other policies such
as expedited permitting and approval for green projects.
Residential demand
The heightened level of interest in sustainability within the
residential construction sector has contributed to green construction’s
movement into the mainstream. While demand for traditional residential
construction is slowing down, the green housing and materials markets
are expanding. Homeowners are increasing their investment in sustainable
housing due to improved economic paybacks resulting from high energy
prices and their growing sensitivity to environmental concerns.
According to the Overview, the National Association of Home
Builders Green Building Conference in April 2007 revealed that green
building and remodeling is experiencing a level of demand that exceeds
the current supply of qualified firms.
Green materials
Green materials and building products are becoming more popular due to
the upward trend in the green construction market. Consumers are
becoming more knowledgeable about their health and the environment and
are now questioning the volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in their
carpet, paint and wood. They are making a conscious effort to identify
what building materials are healthier, more energy efficient and
economically sensible.
As the demand grows for green products and
materials, the cost is mitigated. Today, many manufacturers are making
green products, which leads to more competition and better pricing. In
addition, distribution outlets for green materials are improving.
“Green building will continue to grow. It is
not a question of whether your firm should invest in understanding the
green sustainable trend and how to produce sustainable projects, it’s
how much should you invest and how fast,” said Rick Dutmer, consulting
group manager for FMI. “Developing a strategy now to assess the
capabilities of your firm, and create actions to take advantage of the
sustainable opportunities is fundamental.”
For more information about FMI’s 2008
U.S. Construction Overview, or to interview Rick Dutmer, please
contact Candace Robertson at FMI Corporation at 919-785-9359 or
crobertson@fminet.com.
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Mayhew Tools to
acquire Ken-Toolıs OldForge and Carica product lines
Mayhew Steel Products will acquire Ken-Toolıs OldForge and Carica
product lines and Ken-Toolıs manufacturing facility in New Wilmington,
PA, plus trademark rights to the OldForge and Carica brands and all
products currently being manufactured and marketed by Ken-Tool under
those brands.
The OldForge product line consists of
pneumatic accessories and specialty tools and the Carica product line
consists of telescoping and unique specialty tools.
Ken-Tool is the worldıs leading manufacturer
of hand tools for tire service.
Headquartered in Akron, Ohio, Ken-Tool has
been providing the tire industry and automotive aftermarket with quality
products for over 85 years.
This acquisition is targeted for February 1,
2008. Customers, vendors and other parties affected by this transaction
will be notified directly with transition plans.
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PPE compliance
remains a top workplace concern
For the second year in a row, a survey of safety professionals has found
that noncompliance with personal protective equipment (PPE) protocols
continues to be an issue in the workplace.
Eighty-seven percent of respondents said
they had observed workers failing to wear PPE when they should have
been, according to a survey of attendees at the 2007 National Safety
Council (NSC) Congress, conducted by Kimberly-Clark Professional.
Eighty-five percent of safety professionals answered yes to the same
question in a survey at the 2006 NSC Congress.
“Despite the undisputed need for PPE when
undertaking hazardous tasks, people continue to risk bodily harm by
failing to protect themselves,” said Randy Kates, general manager of the
safety business for Kimberly-Clark Professional. “In this survey, we not
only asked why people did not comply with PPE protocols, but what could
be done to alter these behaviors.”
The main why was uncomfortable PPE,
according to 62 percent of respondents who had observed noncompliance in
the workplace. This was followed by workers thinking PPE was not
necessary for the task, PPE was too hot, fits poorly, or was
unattractive looking.
When respondents were asked what could be
improved about the PPE they were currently purchasing, three quarters of
survey respondents said they would make it more comfortable. Safety
professionals also gave the nod to more fashionable PPE. Eighty-four
percent said that they would be more apt to purchase fashionable and
attractive PPE if workers would be more likely to wear it and the price
was comparable to what they were currently paying for similar products.
Off-the-job safety programs
At a time when workplace deaths are on the decline but injuries and
deaths in the home have risen, 59 percent of safety professionals said
they had programs in place to promote at-home safety and another 28
percent said they had plans to create this type of program in the
future.
Of those with existing safety programs, 68
percent said the offerings consisted of training programs or providing
training materials on off-the-job or at-home safety; 44 percent
encourage employees to take home company-provided PPE and 16 percent
said they have incentive programs for staying safe off the job as well
as on. Ten percent said they allow employees to borrow high-priced
safety equipment, such as gas detection equipment, for home use.
Green issues take center stage
The survey also explored the effect of environmental considerations on
purchasing PPE and other personal safety products. Here, the verdict was
nearly unanimous. Ninety-four percent of respondents said environmental
considerations and reducing the impact on the environment were important
to them. Sixty-four percent ranked these as very important, while 20
percent described them as somewhat important. Ten percent said
environmental factors were increasingly important now, as compared with
a few years ago.
When it comes to green purchases, the top
consideration was buying products made with recycled materials. Next was
the ability to reuse or recycle products after use. Source-reduced
products and packaging and a manufacturer’s overall commitment to the
environment were nearly tied for third place. These were followed by:
•
Purchasing from one supplier to reduce energy
costs resulting from the transport of supplies from different sources.
•
Products that are shipped in biodegradable
packages with as little packaging material as possible.
•
Products manufactured in a “carbon neutral”
facility.
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